Becuase Everything Else Sucks

Israel Plans to Drop Nukes on Iran’s Nuclear Program

By Manila Ryce
Published Saturday, January 6th, 2007, 11:51 pm
Filed under: Human Rights, World: Asia, War, Terrorism, Society/Culture, World Issues, US Politics

In what would be the most hypocritical military action in recent history, Britain’s Sunday Times has cited several Israeli military sources confirming Israel’s plan to destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities with nuclear weapons. While two sites, a heavy water plant at Arak and a uranium conversion plant at Isfahan, would be targeted with conventional bombs, two Israeli Air Force squadrons have been training to blow up an enrichment plant in Natanz using low-yield nuclear bunker busters.

As the UN Security Council voted to impose sanctions on Iran, Iranian officials accused the UN of operating under a double standard by taking no action against Israel, which actually possesses nuclear weapons. In a letter to the UN, Iran’s UN Ambassador Javad Zarif said that the council should “compel [Israel] to abandon nuclear weapons, urge it to accede to the NPT [nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty] without delay and demand this regime to place promptly all its nuclear facilities under IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] full-scope safeguards”.

Regardless of recent tensions over double standards, the Israeli plan to bomb Iran is nothing new. Writing in the New Yorker, Pulitzer Prize winning journalist Seymour Hersh reported that Israel’s “cheap war with many benefits” against Hezbollah in Lebanon was merely “a prototype for a potential US preemptive attack to destroy Iran’s nuclear installations.” US and Israeli officials worked closely on the offensive which claimed over a thousand civilian lives. Israel falsely claimed the US-backed war was fought over two captured soldiers even though they had been planning the operation for months prior to their apprehension.

Israeli pilots have recently been training for the 2,000 mile round-trip to Iran by flying to Gibraltar in recent weeks. The Israelis plan to use conventional laser-guided bombs to open “tunnels” into their targets through which nuclear warheads would then be fired into. Iran’s facilities are heavily fortified. Many analysts believe they are too much for Israel to take on alone.

Washington acknowledged that attacking Iran is an option, but insists that it is trying to reach a diplomatic agreement. This is a false claim as the United States has not had a diplomatic relationship with Iran for over 27 years. President Bush even rejected an offer from the Iranian president for Iran to be completely open about its nuclear program, help stabilize Iraq, end its support for Palestinian groups the US considers terrorists, and to help disarm Hezbollah. All Iran asked in return was for the US to halt further hostile actions in the region, and to be removed from the “axis of evil”. The administration’s refusal to talk with Iran has heightened tensions in the region towards more extremist positions.

Both Israel and the United States are known for readily using “pre-emptive” military force in favor of diplomatic options. Seymour Hersh has also reported that the Bush administration would circumvent any legislative restrictions “and thus stop Congress from getting in its way” to attack Iran. Israeli sources say that if the United States declines to intervene with a conventional attack, then the nuclear strike will be used.

Israel’s strategy is wildly hypocritical since it is the only power in the Middle East which actually has nuclear weapons, a scary reality for a nation accused of carrying our “ethnic cleansing” by a UN envoy. Israel is not a signatory to the NPT, which means it is illegal for the US to fund them. However, Iran is a signatory to the NPT, giving their nuclear program the legal and moral high ground. Even the CIA has conceded that there is absolutely no evidence that Iran’s uranium enrichment program is being used to develop nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, Israel has about 200 nuclear weapons it may soon be using against Iran with US approval.

source

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3 Responses to “Israel Plans to Drop Nukes on Iran’s Nuclear Program”

  1. Wow… Very… Scary…

    Robbie
    07/19/07 at 4:55 pm

  2. IRAN SHOULD STOP PLAYING WITH THE HORNET’S NEST FOR IT WILL SURELY HAVE A GOOD STING IN HIS ASS!!!

    maccabees
    07/16/08 at 1:47 am

  3. Ms Ryce, you say Iran offered full support for the US (sic!), including stop funding of terrorism, helping stabilizing Iraq, disarming Hezbollah, etc.

    So why did Iran refuse Pres Obama’s offer for unconditional dialogue on all those subjects?

    Anyway, do you (still) consider the US of being hostile towards Iran, just because the administration asks for talks, stop funding of terrorist groups, destabilizing Iraq, full transperency of the nuclear program? Isn’t that exactly what Iran supposingly offered?

    Believe me, the US cannot afford another war, and Obama knows that.

    The US know that Iran is a signatory state of the NPT. But she doesn’t behave like that, because every dozens of months, new secrets of Iran’s program are revealed. If everything is for peaceful means, why making such a fuzz around it?

    Even Russia gets annoyed by the Islamic Republic’s performance.

    Concerning Israel, and it’s pre-emptive strike strategy in the past: Israel is a small country without stretegic depth. Yet, ahead of the Six-Days-War in 1967, Israel waited several weeks of public war-threats of the neighbouring countries, weeks in which Egypt forced the UN peace-keeping troops out of the country, forming of a attack-alliance of Egypt, Syria and Jordan, the closure of the Strait of Tiran many days before the war broke out and the concentration of massive forces along her borders in the week preceeding war.

    Tell me please: Would Israel still exist if it had waited blissfully until the joined Arab forces would have started a full-blow attack?

    So much about the saga of pre-emptive strikes.

    Iran is a different topic. Learning from history, you can be sure that Israel will launch a pre-emptive strike ONLY if there is a direct threat. As strategic-depth doesn’t play a role with Iran, we don’t need to consider this point. Yet we learn that Israel waits weeks (or in case of Gaza even years), before it goes to war.

    In case of Iran, war will be very risky, as the Islamic Republic is fully equiped with wide-range missles and already now owns biological and chemical weapons.

    Israel considers (in about this order): (1) the outcome of global diplomacy, (2) the probability of a close attack by Iran, (3) the probability of a nuclear attack of Iran, (4) the risk to her civilian polulation, (5) the morality of her actions, (6) the risks for her troops, (7) the consequences for the Iranian population, (8) the world’s public opinion.

    Considering all those points, you can find the likeliness of a nuclear attack of Israel against Iran:

    Probability-rates for 1-semester-of 2010 (my personal account)
    [Your article is from 2007!]

    (1) global diplomacy: there are still lots of options on the table
    probability for diplomatic success: +/- 50%
    (2) Iranian government behaves hostile, but no source shows plans for war
    probability for attack by Iran: +/- 10%
    (3) According to the German magazine SPIEGEL (2010) it will take Iran another year to build a nuclear weapon
    probability of a nuclear attack on Israel: 0%
    (4) Attacking Iran will bring a full blow of counter-attack, killing many Israeli civilians.
    probability of high death-rate among Israelis in case of war: +/- 80%
    (5) Attacking Iran now, before diplomatic affords were fully exceeded, risking a major conflict and many deaths on both sides, would be insane.
    probability of moral loss: 99%
    (6) Attacking Iran will bring the loss of many IDF troops, mainly among the Airforce, but also among ground troops on bases inside Israel
    probability of big loss of troops (=/+100): +/- 70%
    (7) As Iran’s nuclear facilites are close to urban centres there will be a high death-toll among workers and civilian population due to direct hits and radiation.
    probability of high-rate of Iranian civilian deaths (=/+2000): +/- 80%
    (8) The world will see Iran’s failure to cooperate, yet Israel would be fully blamed for driving the world’s politics and economy into a major crisis and for killing many Iran civilians and destroying humanities cultural heritage.
    probability of negative opinion against Israel: 100%

    CONCLUSION: There is no likliness for a pre-emptive strike for Israel, neither with regular means, nor with nuclear weapons in 2010. It would be disgraceful, highly insane and out of any critic.

    I consider your article of 2007 as propaganda and potentially antisemitic, as you draw a picture of Israel, which didn’t (and doesn’t) fit to the actual and historic facts. By linking the politics of former Pres Bush, the US and general and Israel, you suggest subversively a conspiricy in World Politics, which prefers an inmoral Jewish politic to moral standards. Yet our moral standards and Human Rights derieve from Jewish Religion, which fathers Christianity and Islam too.

    Please take this in account, and take care of your words (as already the bible underlines: first there was the word; and: the word can harm more than a weapon)

    Mushtari
    01/29/10 at 4:36 pm

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